10

Jun

Mayawati Helps BJP, blames Muslims, spoiling Opposition’s chances in UP

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Anwarul haq Baig

New Delhi, 10 June 2024

Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP), which had no electoral alliance with NDA or Opposition INDIA Alliance and fought on its own, spoiled the INDIA bloc’s chances in 16 seats in Uttar Pradesh in the just concluded Lok Sabha 2024 polls, where the BSP bagged more votes than the winning margin of the victorious candidates in these constituencies.

This directly benefitted the BJP or NDA partners, although the BSP did not win even a single seat.

In the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, the BSP contested 424 seats across India and 79, including 19 Muslim candidates, in Uttar Pradesh but could not win even a single seat in any of the states. Its national vote share plummeted to a mere 2.04%, while in UP, a core state, it managed only 9.39% of votes – a massive 10.38% decline from 2014 when it had polled 19.77%. Mayawati had attempted to woo Muslim voters by fielding a record 35 Muslim candidates nationally, with 20 in UP alone. However, none of the Muslim nominees came close to even being runners-up.

 

If BSP entered an electoral alliance like SP and other secular parties with INDIA who wanted to defeat BJP to protect the Constitution, democracy, and the rule of law, it would have resulted in further consolidation of non-BJP votes. INDIA would have captured power, and the NDA led by BJP would have been thrown out of control.

Political analysts interpreted her party’s decision to go solo in the General Elections as a bid to help the BJP by causing division among Muslim and Dalit votes and hence harming the INDIA alliance. The analysts were not wrong as the statistics released by the Election Commission of India after the poll has revealed.

Political watchers say that Mayawati was under pressure to compromise with the BJP because she faces a disproportionate assets case and several corruption cases under investigation.

Experts say that Mayawati would have landed in jail like Laloo Yadav or Arvind Kejriwal had she not compromised with the BJP. She did not bother even about the announcement by some BJP leaders to change the Constitution after the formation of the new government and abolish reservation for Dalits, a gift given by Congress that changed their social and economic status in the last 75 years.

 

In UP, where Muslims make up 20% and Dalits 21% of the population, the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance swept to victory, bagging 43 of the 80 seats. The BJP and its allies won 36 seats.

Data analysis suggests that had Mayawati allied with the INDIA opposition bloc instead of going solo, the alliance could have won up to 59 UP seats, severely denting the BJP’s tally. However, she rejected proposals from the SP and Congress to join the INDIA front.  The BSP supremo seemed to ignore the apparent trend of her core vote bank eroding over the years across economic and caste lines, including Jatav Dalits and non-Jatav Dalits. From winning 80 seats in the 2012 UP Assembly polls, the BSP was down to just one seat in 2022 with 12.88% votes.

According to ECI data, the 16 Lok Sabha constituencies where the BSP played a spoiler are Akbarpur, Aligarh, Amroha, Bansgaon, Bhadohi, Bijnor, Deoria, Farrukhabad, Fatehpur Sikri, Hardoi, Meerut, Mirzapur, Misrikh, Phulpur, Shahjahanpur, and Unnao.

As per the ECI data:

1.            In Akbarpur, Devendra Singh alias Bhole Singh defeated SP’s Rajaram Pal by 44,345 votes, whereas BSP’s Rajesh Kumar Dwivedi got 73,140.

2.            In Aligarh, BJP’s Satish Kumar Gautam won over SP’s Bijendra Singh by 15,647 votes, whereas BSP’s Hitendra Kumar alias Bunty Upadhyay got 123,929 votes.

3.            In Amroha, BJP’s Kanwar Singh Tanwar defeated Congress’ Kunwar Danish Ali by 28,670 votes, whereas BSP’s Mujahid Husain got 164,099 votes.

4.            In Bansgaon, BJP’s Kamlesh Paswan won over Congress’ Sadal Prasad by 3,150 votes, whereas BSP’s Ramsamujh got 64,750 votes.

5.            In Bhadohi, BJP’s Dr. Vinod Kumar Bind registered a victory by 44,072 votes over Trinamool Congress’ Laliteshpati Tripathi, where BSP’s Harishankar received 155,053 votes.

6.            In Bijnor, NDA’s Chandan Chauhan defeated SP’s Deepak by 37,508 votes, whereas BSP’s Vijender Singh got 218,986 votes.

7.            In Deoria, BJP’s Shashank Mani won over Congress’ Akhilesh Pratap Singh by 34,842 votes, whereas BSP’s Sandesh got 45,564.

8.            In Farrukhabad, BJP’s Mukesh Rajput defeated SP’s Dr. Naval Kishor Shakya by merely 2,678 votes, whereas BSP’s Kranti Pandey got 45,390 votes.

9.            In Fatehpur Sikri, BJP’s Rajkumar Chahar won over Congress’ Ramnath Singh Sikarwar by 43,405 votes, whereas BSP’s Pandit Ramniwas Sharma received 120,539 votes.

10.          In Hardoi, BJP’s Jai Prakash registered a win over SP’s Usha Verma by 27,856 votes, whereas BSP’s Bhimrao Ambedkar got 122,629 votes.

11.          In Meerut, BJP’s Arun Govil defeated SP’s Dalit candidate Sunita Verma by 10,585 votes, whereas BSP’s Devvrat Kumar Tyagi got 87,025 votes.

12.          In Mirzapur, NDA’s (Apna Dal Soneylal) Anupriya Patel won over SP’s Ramesh Chand Bind by 37,810 votes, whereas BSP’s Manish Kumar got 144,446 votes.

13.          In Misrikh, BJP’s Ashok Kumar Rawat defeated SP’s Sangita Rajvanshi by 33,406 votes, whereas BSP’s B. R. Ahirwar got 111,945.

14.          In Phulpur, BJP’s Praveen Patel won over SP’s Amar Nath Singh Maurya by just 4,332 votes, whereas BSP’s Jagannath Pal got 82,586.

15.          In Shahjahanpur, BJP’s Arun Kumar Sagar beat SP’s Jyotsna Gond by 55,379 votes, whereas BSP’s Dod Ram Verma got 91,710.

16.          In Unnao, BJP’s Swami Sachchidanand Hari Sakshi or Sakshi Maharaj defeated SP’s Annu Tandon by 35,818 votes, whereas BSP’s Ashok Kumar Pandey received 72,527 votes.

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