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Today's Edition

New Delhi, 15 December 2023

Satish Misra

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Choice of first time MLA Bhajanlal Sharma as the next Rajasthan Chief Minister along with

Mohan Yadav for Madhya Pradesh and Vishnu Deo Sai for Chhattisgarh, clearly has the

unmistakable stamp of Prime Minister Narednra Modi who keeps the nation and his own party leader guessing.

 

Message is loud and clear that the Prime Minister along with his comrade- in- arms Union Home Minister Amit Shah are supreme and nobody should dare to challenge them. Traditional wisdom of ambition rather personal goals are the drivers of energy that makes an individual toil hard has been consigned to flames by two people who are decidedly anti-knowledge, hate intellectuals or competent leaders.

 

To use a cricket terminology, Modi has stumped or clean bowled everyone his friends and foes alike. He has proved political analysts, commentators and his party colleagues wrong by taking recourse to element of surprise using unconventional tools of politics and governance.

Undoubtedly it seems that it took time to decide on the three names, but a façade of the

democratic process also had to be maintained. First subtle yet decisive message had to be sent to all those who had been nursing their ambitions to occupy the chief ministerial chair that they must fall in line to obey the command. Defying, dissenting or disobeying have no place in the Modi’s BJP and if anyone does dare then he or she should be ready to face ED, CBI. Income Tax or disrobing and defaming in public eyes.

 

First Modi-Shah duo picked up senior leaders including central ministers and MPs to contest

assembly elections arousing their ambitions for the top job and thus made them work hard and then cut them to size by picking up relatively unknown MLAs with not much profile or seniority telling the party’s established leaders that they are powerless in today’s BJP.

 

Modi has played the disruption card by showing that seniority or experience is not an asset but rather a liability. In picking up such relatively inexperienced leaders who have not tasted power earlier and thus are not vulnerable is a message to rank and file that they could also be rewarded one day if they kept working hard. At the same, such leaders would remain loyal to him because he picked them up. Neither of the three leaders have deep roots in state politics and thus would remain obedient to Modi-Shah duo.  

 

At the same time, the Prime Minister has sought to change the rule of the game of Indian politics where seniority and number of years used to be a determining tool of decision makers.

 

Immediately after assuming power, Modi was cautious as his design to sideline or making senior leaders irrelevant was couched in facade of high principles as he packed senior leaders like L K Advani, Dr M M Joshi and former Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee to a high sounding forum Marg Darshak Mandal that gave an impression that this forum was meant to guide the government and the party but in reality it was to kick them out. Thereafter, Modi perfected the tool of undermining or shortcutting seniority with country’s bureaucracy where he chose to give extension rather giving chanced to the next senior person for the top job. For Modi, loyalty rather unquestioned loyalty is decisive and it gets rewarded. Where are ministers or high profile leaders like Uma Bharti, Ravi Shankar Prasada or Prakash Javdekar

and many others who used to hog media headlines?

 

Selection of three leaders is the part of the electoral strategy of the Modi-Shah duo with an eye on the coming Lok Sabha battle which means that state leaders must remain on their toes and their ambitions should not work at cross purposes with the ambitions of the national leadership.

 

Power has become centralized while state leaders have been reduced to mere pawns who have to move forward or be ready to be sacrificed at the behest of masters avowedly for the larger goal.

 

Obvious questions that needs to be asked are? Whether the change is long lasting if not then how long? Whether senior leaders who have given their precious years to the party and the

organisation will take lying down counting their days waiting for better days to come or would dare to challenge by going against the “party’s interest that other words is national interest”?

 

Scenario is not likely to change anytime soon because it requires a major setback for the

disgruntled and insulted leaders to gather courage of majority of such leader who could think of defying is mortgaged with the mentor- Rashtriya Swyamsevak Sangh. And it is impossible for the RSS to give space to any such leaders to take a step because it itself is obliged to the Modi Shah combine.

 

Having cut the size of senior leaders and pushed them to oblivion, the Modi-Shah duo has one rival left who yet poses a challenge and whom the two have not been able to crush is none other than Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath. Despite many efforts to reduce him stature or to cut him to size, Yogi has remained a challenge or a threat. But Yogi does not have much time-only till the Lok Sabha elections. After his return to power third time in succession in 2024, Yogi will be the target and it would be impossible for the saffron saint turned Chief Minister to survive.

 

How long will he continue would depend on the Lok Sabha polls which in the Modi-Shah

assessment is going to be tough?

 

Dictators and dictatorships have never been eternal. Modi-Shah too are not invincible and bound to face people’s wrath which will bring them down. It requires sustained and determined efforts of the opposition alliance INDIA to challenge the Modi-Shah stranglehold on the nation and thus liberating the BJP too in the process.

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